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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.CICC: It is expected that the central bank will further set up other new monetary instruments in the future. CICC said that on the basis of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, the policy objectives and directions of the Central Economic Work Conference have been further stated. For next year's economic goals, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and pointed out that "we should pay attention to target guidance and strive to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". In terms of monetary policy, CICC believes that this meeting clearly pointed out that "timely RRR cuts and interest rate cuts". It is expected that in order to meet the government bond issuance, credit supply and seasonal liquidity demand, the RRR cut may be implemented before the Spring Festival, and the interest rate cut may also be gradually promoted with the Fed's interest rate cut. CICC also judged that in the past period, the central bank has established new monetary instruments such as treasury bonds trading tools, securities fund insurance company exchange facilities, and affordable housing refinancing, and its ability to play a role in the stock, bond, real estate and other markets has been strengthened, and other new instruments may be further established in the future. (SSE)

Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.Technology giants have shown that Amazon and Meta each donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. An Amazon spokesperson said that the company will donate $1 million to the inauguration fund of US President-elect Donald Trump. American technology companies hope to establish a positive relationship with the government, and Meta Platforms Inc has previously donated funds for inauguration activities. Trump said on Thursday that he will also meet with Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, highlighting his contacts with technology giants. Trump said in an interview that Bezos will come next week. An Amazon spokesperson said on Thursday that in addition to direct donations, Amazon will also broadcast the inauguration ceremony live. Amazon said that these donations are corporate activities and are not funded by Bezos. Trump said on Thursday that Zuckerberg, the founder of Facebook, also met with him and mentioned his friendship with elon musk, the founder of Tesla and SpaceX. Meta, which owns Facebook and Instagram, also donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. "I want to hear ideas from them," Trump said of business leaders. "We hope they can do well."Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.

South Korean police: A compulsory investigation of Yin Xiyue is being considered. The South Korean police said on the 13th that they are discussing a compulsory investigation of President Yin Xiyue and considering a seizure and search of his communication records and presidential residence. The special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Agency held a press conference on the same day, saying that the plan to detain and search the presidential residence in Hannandong, Longshan District, Seoul is in the "discussion stage". The police are considering seizing and searching Yin Xiyue's communication records. (Xinhua News Agency)Guangdong has issued a batch of personnel appointments and dismissals. According to the news of WeChat official account, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government has appointed and dismissed staff. Appoint Guan Jin as the deputy director of the General Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year; Appointed Chen Yongkang as Deputy Director of the Guangdong Provincial Department of Justice; Zhang Hezhi was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Appointed Ke Mofu as Deputy Director of the Local Records Office of Guangdong Provincial People's Government; Liu Huilin was appointed as the deputy director of the Development Research Center of Guangdong Provincial People's Government for a trial period of one year. Li Mingliang was removed from the post of chairman of Guangdong Inspection and Certification Institute Group Co., Ltd.; Jin Ping was removed from the post of deputy director of the Guangdong Provincial Ethnic and Religious Affairs Committee and retired; Lai Haibin was removed from the post of director (deputy department level) of Guangdong Ecological Environmental Protection Supervision Office and retired; Jiao Fangtai was removed from the post of vice president of Guangdong University of Foreign Studies and retired; Chen Tinggen was removed from the post of vice president of Wuyi University and retired; Wu Qifeng was removed from the post of Dean of Guangdong Songshan Vocational and Technical College and retired; Jasmine Zhang was removed from the post of president of Maoming Vocational and Technical College and retired; Tan Xuerui was removed from the post of Dean of Shantou University School of Medicine and retired.Zhongke Chuangda: Cooperation with Bean Bag will promote the transformation and application of the scientific research results of the big model on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side with Volcano Engine. Zhongke Chuangda said on the interactive platform on December 13th that it has cooperation with Bean Bag. The company reached an in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine to build a joint laboratory to empower end-to-end intelligence. The two sides will give full play to the advantages of core technologies, products and markets in their respective fields, and work together to promote the transformation and application of scientific research results of large models on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side, empowering industrial innovation and development.